There are two types of by-elections. There is the one that gets a pre-selected candidate into a seat and then there is the scramble version that is almost impossible to forecast. It looks like we have one of those unfathomable ones coming up. The by-election is in Barrie, Ontario on February 1 and it is to replace a Conservative city councillor who is now a Member of Parliament.
Yes, we know there is no party politics at city hall, but we also know that the winner in this scramble will be one of the two Liberal candidates or one of four of the Conservative candidates. None of the other seven candidates gets any kind of chance at winning. If either of the political parties got their act together, we would already know the winner.
Major political parties usually tend to stand back and watch by-elections to see who can organize enough friends to drive out a winning number of voters. It is one of those situations where the person who can get 1000 votes is going to be the winner. There are more than 9000 potential voters in the ward but the average turnout in regular municipal elections in Barrie is about 30 per cent. By-elections can have an even lower turn-out.
Finding people to knock on doors or deliver literature is always a tough job in Barrie but in the snows and chills of January it takes more than just party loyalty.
The only heating up of the campaign is the death-wish of the north and south Barrie Liberal party organizations supporting different candidates. Here we were hoping for a new detente between the different factions of the party in this small city but they keep sticking sticks in each other’s eyes.
The south Barrie Liberals (where the by-election ward is located) are supporting a former police services board member. We had a chance to chat with him at a recent Liberal event in that part of the city. It was puzzling to see him there until we found out he was considering running in the by-election. He was trolling for workers.
But despite the Liberals in the riding that cover the ward choosing this candidate, the Liberals in the north of Barrie have chosen another to support. There was no meeting in either part of the city to make these decisions. They appear to be unilateral decisions of some of the riding executives.
It will be interesting to follow this fiasco to its conclusion. The hypocrisy of this shadow party politics in municipal politics is something that needs to be addressed. In Toronto, the lack of political platforms and direction to allow voters to help steer their city is a disgrace. It is stifling growth and progress. Cities need responsible government.
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Copyright 2016 © Peter Lowry
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