Whether you prefer to use a crystal ball, tarot cards, automated telephone calls or the entrails of a sheep, forecasting the results of the fall federal election in Canada at this early stage is a waste of time. And making up stories about New Democrat Leader Thomas Mulcair being the likely game changer is a joke. The recent win by the Alberta NDP was nothing other than good news for Albertans.
The pundits should remember that the Alberta Liberals all but bowed out of the provincial election. Albertans, desperate for a second opinion had no other option. The NDP offered a clear choice for change. The very fact that the Wildrose bunch came second tells you how angry Albertans were with the autocratic Conservatives.
But there is no change offered by the federal New Democrats. Tom Mulcair comes across as dull and methodical. Neither he not his party offer the change Canadians want.
All that is clear about the fall election is that it is the Conservative’s to lose. They know they are in trouble. They would have to hire an army of jihadists to run up and down our main streets to convince Canadians that the government’s fear-mongering over our security makes any sense. And they seem to be in no rush to fund the re-equipping our military, R.C.M. Police or Security Intelligence Agency.
And the one thing that Canadians can agree on is that the Prime Minister is a control freak who is not a good manager of money or people. His economic measures are bankrupting those of us who are not already broke while his choices of appointment for the Senate seem more likely to end up in jail. He is presently toying with the television networks to try to stay away from debates with the other federal party leaders.
The Prime Minister’s biggest worry if he loses this election will be who will pay for his hairdresser.
Liberal Party Leader Justin Trudeau made his first stab at policy the other day and while the reception was lukewarm, it gave him a base to build on. The approach is simple and easy to understand. We still have to determine if it is credible.
We will hold off posting our morning line selections for this election until after Labour Day. It might be fairly clear at that point but do not count anyone out. This election is going to go down to the wire and it might just be the party that can respond the fastest that can take the roses.
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Copyright 2015 © Peter Lowry
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